Top of page

Book/Printed Material Asymmetric crime cycles

View Enlarged Image

About this Item

Title

  • Asymmetric crime cycles

Summary

  • "Recent theoretical models based on dynamic human capital formation, or social influence, suggest an inverse relationship between criminal activity and economic opportunity and between criminal activity and deterrence, but predict an asymmetric response of crime. In this paper we use three different data sets and three different empirical methodologies to document this previously-unnoticed regularity. Using nonparametric methods we show that the behavior of property crime is asymmetric over time, where increases are sharper but decreases are gradual. Using aggregate time-series U.S. data as well as data from New York City we demonstrate that property crime reacts more (less) strongly to increases (decreases) in the unemployment rate, to decreases (increases) in per capita real GDP and to decreases (increases) in the police force. The same result is obtained between unemployment and property crime in annual state-level panel data. These results suggest that it may be cost effective to implement mechanisms to prevent crime commission rates from rising in the first place"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Names

  • Mocan, H. Naci
  • Bali, Turan G.
  • National Bureau of Economic Research

Created / Published

  • Cambridge, MA : National Bureau of Economic Research, c2005.

Headings

  • -  Crime--Economic aspects--Mathematical models
  • -  Crime--Economic aspects--New York (State)--New York
  • -  Crime--Economic aspects--United States
  • -  Criminal justice, Administration of--Mathematical models

Notes

  • -  Title from PDF file as viewed on 3/30/2005.
  • -  Includes bibliographical references.
  • -  Also available in print.
  • -  Mode of access: World Wide Web.
  • -  System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Call Number/Physical Location

  • HB1

Digital Id

Library of Congress Control Number

  • 2005617157

Access Advisory

  • Unrestricted online access

Online Format

  • image
  • pdf

Additional Metadata Formats

Rights & Access

More about Copyright and other Restrictions

For guidance about compiling full citations consult Citing Primary Sources.

Cite This Item

Citations are generated automatically from bibliographic data as a convenience, and may not be complete or accurate.

Chicago citation style:

Mocan, H. Naci, Turan G Bali, and National Bureau Of Economic Research. Asymmetric Crime Cycles. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005. Pdf. https://www.loc.gov/item/2005617157/.

APA citation style:

Mocan, H. N., Bali, T. G. & National Bureau Of Economic Research. (2005) Asymmetric Crime Cycles. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. [Pdf] Retrieved from the Library of Congress, https://www.loc.gov/item/2005617157/.

MLA citation style:

Mocan, H. Naci, Turan G Bali, and National Bureau Of Economic Research. Asymmetric Crime Cycles. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005. Pdf. Retrieved from the Library of Congress, <www.loc.gov/item/2005617157/>.