Book/Printed Material Presidential succession scenarios in Egypt and their impact on U.S.-Egyptian strategic relations Presidential succession scenarios in Egypt and their impact on United States-Egyptian strategic relations / Presidential succession scenarios in Egypt and their impact on US-Egyptian strategic relations

Title

• Presidential succession scenarios in Egypt and their impact on U.S.-Egyptian strategic relations

Other Title

• Presidential succession scenarios in Egypt and their impact on United States-Egyptian strategic relations
• Presidential succession scenarios in Egypt and their impact on US-Egyptian strategic relations

Summary

• Although this monograph was written before the pro-democracy demonstrations in Egypt in January 2011, it examines the important question as to who might succeed President Hosni Mubarak by analyzing several possible scenarios and what they would mean for U.S. strategic relations with Egypt. The monograph first describes the importance of Egypt in the Middle East region and gives an overview of the U.S.-Egyptian strategic relationship. It then examines the power structure in Egypt to include the presidency, the military, and the ruling party. The monograph next explores various succession scenarios. Although some of the scenarios outlined in this monograph are no longer viable--for example, President Mubarak is now on trial for complicity in the deaths of protesters during the uprising that resulted in his ouster from power--other scenarios remain plausible, particularly given what we see as the more prominent role of the Egyptian military in this fluid political situation. In addition, some of the possible presidential successors that the author mentions have now risen to higher positions in the Egyptian government. The author also discusses the sensitive issue of the Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt's most organized opposition group that is opposed to many U.S. policies. He examines a scenario of a Muslim Brotherhood-dominated government, but notes that this is unlikely to occur unless both the Brotherhood and the Egyptian military split apart.

Names

• Aftandilian, Gregory L.
• Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute

Created / Published

• Carlisle, PA : Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 2011.

Contents

• Summary -- Introduction -- The power structure in Egypt -- Constitutional rules, changes and procedures -- Succession scenarios through legal mechanisms -- Extra-legal scenario successions -- How would these scenarios impact U.S.-Egyptian relations? -- Legal succession scenarios -- Extra-legal scenarios -- Policy recommendations. How should U.S. officials conduct themselves in these scenarios?

Headings

• -  Egypt.--President (1981-2011 : Mubārak)
• -  Jamʻīyat al-Ikhwān al-Muslimīn (Egypt)
• -  Civil-military relations--Egypt
• -  Constitutional law--Egypt
• -  Elections--Egypt
• -  Political campaigns--Egypt
• -  Political leadership--Egypt
• -  Political parties--Egypt
• -  Presidents--Succession--Egypt
• -  Egypt--Foreign relations--United States
• -  Egypt--Politics and government--Forecasting
• -  Egypt--Strategic aspects
• -  United States--Foreign relations--Egypt

Notes

• -  "External Research Associates Program monograph."
• -  "September 2011."
• -  Includes bibliographical references (pages 43-48).
• -  Description based on print version record; resource not viewed.

Medium

• 1 electronic resource (x, 48 pages)

Call Number/Physical Location

• DT107.87

Digital Id

• https://hdl.loc.gov/loc.gdc/gdcebookspublic.2023692728

Library of Congress Control Number

• 2023692728

Rights Advisory

• This is non-restricted, fully open content that may be accessed on and off of the Library of Congress campus, with no restrictions, by an unlimited number of users

Access Advisory

• Unrestricted online access

Online Format

• image
• pdf

LCCN Permalink

• https://lccn.loc.gov/2023692728

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• Dublin Core Record