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Book/Printed Material Forecasting zero : U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament United States nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament / US nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament

About this Item

Title

  • Forecasting zero : U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament

Other Title

  • United States nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament
  • US nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament

Summary

  • A vigorous debate is occurring among American elites with respect to whether and when the United States should relinquish its nuclear weapons. Bolstering hopes for tangible results is that a U.S. President is again publicly and forcefully supporting disarmament. While this debate, which addresses both technical and political factors related to abolition, may be the most serious one of its kind since the dawn of the nuclear age, the future of U.S. nuclear weapons policy remains uncertain. The general approach advanced today in U.S. policy circles largely hews, after all, to the logic of the past 65 years: arms control and nonproliferation now, disarmament at an undetermined time in the future. Moreover, several conceptual and strategic barriers continue to block serious progress toward U.S. disarmament. By situating the current pro-disarmament rhetoric in this larger historical and strategic context, this monograph argues that there is reason to doubt whether the current push for disarmament will produce meaningful and lasting results.

Names

  • Pearl, Jonathan (Writer on nuclear disarmament)
  • Army War College (U.S.). Strategic Studies Institute

Created / Published

  • Carlisle, PA : Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, [2011]

Contents

  • American abolitionism : new trick or old pony? (1945-91). Limited dissent for a wartime project -- Shaping the post-war world -- Three important shifts move the United States away from disarmament -- From Kennedy to Carter : the rise of arms control -- A Reagan-era rebirth for disarmament -- Shaping a new world order, or shaped by it? : from Reykjavik to rogue states. New risks and uncertain priorities in the post-Cold War world (1991-2001) -- Disarmament continues its retreat (2001-09) -- A new center or a return to normalcy? : the four horsemen ride to town -- Forecasting the U.S. nuclear future : yes we can (eventually?). The Obama administration : pledges and actions -- Continuity, not revolution -- Guarding your optimism : conceptual roadblocks to disarmament -- Guarding your optimism : structural roadblocks to disarmament -- Conclusion.

Headings

  • -  Nuclear disarmament--International cooperation
  • -  Nuclear disarmament--United States--History
  • -  Nuclear nonproliferation--Government policy--United States
  • -  Nuclear nonproliferation--International cooperation
  • -  Nuclear weapons--United States--Forecasting
  • -  Nuclear weapons--United States--History

Notes

  • -  "November 2011."
  • -  Includes bibliographical references (pages 41-57).
  • -  Description based on print version record; resource not viewed.

Medium

  • 1 electronic resource (x, 57 pages)

Call Number/Physical Location

  • JZ5665

Digital Id

Library of Congress Control Number

  • 2023692763

Rights Advisory

  • This is non-restricted, fully open content that may be accessed on and off of the Library of Congress campus, with no restrictions, by an unlimited number of users

Access Advisory

  • Unrestricted online access

Online Format

  • image
  • pdf

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Cite This Item

Citations are generated automatically from bibliographic data as a convenience, and may not be complete or accurate.

Chicago citation style:

Pearl, Jonathan, and U.S.. Strategic Studies Institute Army War College. Forecasting zero: U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament. [Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 2011] Pdf. https://www.loc.gov/item/2023692763/.

APA citation style:

Pearl, J. & Army War College, U. S. S. S. I. (2011) Forecasting zero: U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament. [Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College] [Pdf] Retrieved from the Library of Congress, https://www.loc.gov/item/2023692763/.

MLA citation style:

Pearl, Jonathan, and U.S.. Strategic Studies Institute Army War College. Forecasting zero: U.S. nuclear history and the low probability of disarmament. [Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, 2011] Pdf. Retrieved from the Library of Congress, <www.loc.gov/item/2023692763/>.